The 2024 Edo State election is drawing attention, and as always, it's essential to look beyond the surface-level campaign slogans and rhetoric to truly understand the dynamics at play. Several key factors will likely shape the outcome:

1. The Incumbency Factor
The sitting governor, if seeking re-election, often has an advantage due to control over state resources, established political networks, and name recognition. However, incumbents also face scrutiny over their track record. Voters will be evaluating how well the government has addressed issues like education, infrastructure, and job creation.

2. Party Structure and Internal Dynamics
Political parties in Edo, such as the All Progressives Congress (APC) and the People's Democratic Party (PDP), have experienced internal struggles in recent years. Unity within the party can make a significant difference in elections. Factions or discontent among party members could hurt their chances, regardless of their public-facing campaigns.

3. Ethnic and Zonal Politics
Edo is divided into three major senatorial districts, and zoning arrangements often play a role in who becomes the next governor. If there’s a strong push for representation from a particular zone or ethnic group, this can sway voters who feel underrepresented.

4. Voter Perception of National Politics
As Edo is part of Nigeria, national political dynamics—such as the performance of the ruling party at the federal level, economic policies, and recent reforms—will influence local voter sentiments. Candidates' ties to national figures or policies may either help or hurt them.

5. The Role of Youth and Technology
In recent elections, young voters have become increasingly vocal and active, driven by movements advocating for transparency, good governance, and accountability. With a growing digital-savvy population, social media campaigns, and the use of digital platforms for grassroots mobilization will be critical in shaping perceptions.

6. Security and Electoral Integrity
The ability of electoral bodies and security agencies to ensure a peaceful, fair election will be closely watched. Any signs of electoral malpractice, intimidation, or violence could undermine the credibility of the process.

7. Economic Conditions
With rising inflation, unemployment, and other socio-economic challenges, many Edo citizens will vote based on their personal financial situations. Candidates that provide clear, achievable plans for economic revival are likely to gain favor.

While party campaigns and rhetoric can generate noise, the real issues affecting everyday people—jobs, security, education, and infrastructure—will determine how voters cast their ballots in 2024.